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Reload this Page UNP චන්දෙත් ගෝඨාභයට? : 60% vs 40%
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10-10-2019, 09:39 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by banda065 View Post
E wageda me troll page eke athaleka

ගෝඨාට අන්ත පරාජයක්. අලුත්ම සමීක්ෂණයෙන් ගෝඨාට තියෙන්නේ ඡන්ද 11.72% ක් විතරයි.

ඒ අතර සජිත් ප්‍රේමදාස මහතාට 83.52% ක විශිෂ්ට ජයක් ලැබී තිබෙනවා.

මහේෂ් සේනානායක මහතා 3 වෙනි තැනට පත් වෙද්දී, අනුර කුමාර මහතා 4 වෙනි තැනට පත් වීම විශේෂත්වයක්.

මෙම සමීක්ෂණය පැවැතියේ සිරිකොත පක්ෂ කාර්යාලයේදී ය.

සමීක්ෂණය සඳහා සිරිකොතේ කාර්ය මණ්ඩලය සහ, ඇමති/මන්ත්‍රී ආරක්ෂකයින් සහභාගී විය.


Sathutu wenna puluwan sirikotheth 32 idala GOTA ta kemathi
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sidathsaumya sidathsaumya is offline
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10-10-2019, 12:23 PM

bp
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10-10-2019, 12:25 PM

බම්පි
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10-10-2019, 12:26 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by egs View Post
University of Colombo & Kelaniya- Pre Poll Research Results 9 Oct 2019
============================

* Total sample size: 30,000
* Area : All island
* Age groups: Total voter base

Key Findings:

1. GR - 51% | SP - 48% | Other- 1%

2. Undecided:
Approx. 18% of all voters (2.2 M)

3. Youth (18-28): GR- 55% | SP-45%

4. GR Major disadvantage:

A. Family & nepotism
B. 'Racist' rhetoric and position
C. Mistrust amongst minorities
D. US citizenship issue
E. Past acts (allegations of serious crime)

GR advantage
A. Commands 40% of far-right Sinhala-Buddhist vote


5. SP major disadvantages

A. Stated position that Ranil Wickramasinghe remains PM

B. Jalani Premadasa involved in decision-making (49% of total social media attacks aimed at him, connected with her)

C. Poorly prepared speeches

D. Very poor campaign so far


SP advantage:
A. Block UNP vote
B. No allegations of corruption


6. Important: Impact of SLFP support expected to be minimal (0.8-1% variance)


7. Conclusion:


- Very tight race; depends on voter-turnout
- Premadasa at an advantage as campaign kicks into gear: can cover gap quickly
- If gap widens by 9% over next two weeks, statistical probability of GR win very high; but to achieve this only possible through minority vote base

Early Prediction:

Premadasa win by 50.04%, with 70% voter turnout.
Good one mchan but wrong conclusion
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10-10-2019, 12:28 PM

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