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10 Failed Predictions about the Future
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<blockquote data-quote="HRA" data-source="post: 4985466" data-attributes="member: 6136"><p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.</strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong>--Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.</strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/vh8XRYz6.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center">It may sound ridiculous now, but the prediction was actually true for about ten years after it was made. Almost every forecaster would settle for a ten year limit on the testing of their forecasts. Of course, by the 1980s and the advent of the PC, such a statement looked plain daft.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>That virus [HIV] is a pussycat.</strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong>--Dr. Peter Duesberg, molecular-biology professor at U.C. Berkeley, 1988, </strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/ojGVeJXa.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">By 2006, the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS and the World Health Organization estimated that AIDS has killed more than 25 million people since it was first recognized on December 1, 1981.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong></strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>"Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You're crazy."</strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center">-<strong>-Associates of Edwin L. Drake refusing his suggestion to drill for oil in 1859.</strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/HCKhZ-kR.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">Only one hundred fifty years passed by since the first attempt to dig out oil from the ground met such contempt, and now the whole world is trying to look for unimaginable places to satiate the thirst for money that is propelled and sustained on this black gold.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px">A rocket will never be able to leave the Earth%u2019s atmosphere.</span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>--New York Times, 1936.</strong></span> </p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/5EjESyBE.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">10 years later, in 1946, the first American-built rocket to leave the earth's atmosphere was launched from White Sands, attaining 50 miles of altitude.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>CRail travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to breathe, would die of asphyxia.</strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong>--Dr Dionysys Larder (1793-1859) </strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/oaiDlnxq.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">It may sound impossible to Dr Larder, professor of Natural Philosophy and Astronomy at the University College London back in the 1800, but in 1939 the first high speed train went from Milan to Florence at 165 km/h (102.5 mph). Thankfully no one died. Nowadays these trains go at 200 km/h (125 mph) and faster.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong></strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.</strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong>--Lord Kelvin, 1895. </strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/gZxKrld.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">This was said by Lord Kelvin (British mathematician and physicist, president of the British Royal Society) only eight years before brothers Orville and Wilbur Wright took their home-built flyer to the sandy dunes of Kitty Hawk, cranked up the engine, and took off into the history books.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>There will never be a bigger plane built."</strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>--A Boeing engineer, after the first flight of the 247, a twin engine plane that holds ten people. </strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/vfKU78mv.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">What would this engineer say if he saw the current largest passenger plane on earth, the Airbus A380? The Airbus A380 has 50% more floor space than arch rival Boeing's 747 Jumbo, with room for duty-free shops, restaurants and even a sauna, and can provide site for up to 853 people.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>"Ours has been the first [expedition], and doubtless to be the last, to visit this profitless locality."</strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong>---- Lt. Joseph Ives, after visiting the Grand Canyon in 1861.</strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong></strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/ZkvSh75y.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">More than a century later, five million people annually visit this "profitless locality," by car, foot, air, and on the Colorado River itself.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong></strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>"If excessive smoking actually plays a role in the production of lung cancer, it seems to be a minor one."</strong></span></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong>--W.C. Heuper, National Cancer Institute, 1954. </strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/8es4dEM.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">In 1964 the United States Surgeon General's Report on Smoking and Health began suggesting the relationship between smoking and cancer, which confirmed its suggestions 20 years later in the 1980s. Nowadays, it%u2019s well known that long-term exposure to tobacco smoke is the most common causes of lung cancer.</p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong></strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong></strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong><span style="font-size: 18px">"You better get secretarial work or get married."</span></strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><strong>--Emmeline Snively, advising would-be model Marilyn Monroe in 1944. </strong></p> <p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://imgkk.com/i/n3saOhyI.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p> <p style="text-align: center">In 1944, Marilyn Monroe was discovered by a photographer who encouraged her to apply to The Blue Book modeling agency. She was told by Snively, director of the Modelling Agency that she should became a secretary, besides they were looking for models with lighter hair. So Marilyn dyed her brunette hair to a golden blonde. She finally signed a contract with the agency. And of course, became Blue Book's most successful model.</p><p></p><p><span style="color: Red">soryy if repost</span></p><p>credit goes to original uploader</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HRA, post: 4985466, member: 6136"] [CENTER][SIZE="5"][B]I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.[/B][/SIZE] [B]--Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.[/B] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/vh8XRYz6.jpg[/IMG] It may sound ridiculous now, but the prediction was actually true for about ten years after it was made. Almost every forecaster would settle for a ten year limit on the testing of their forecasts. Of course, by the 1980s and the advent of the PC, such a statement looked plain daft. [SIZE="5"][B]That virus [HIV] is a pussycat.[/B][/SIZE] [B]--Dr. Peter Duesberg, molecular-biology professor at U.C. Berkeley, 1988, [/B] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/ojGVeJXa.jpg[/IMG] By 2006, the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS and the World Health Organization estimated that AIDS has killed more than 25 million people since it was first recognized on December 1, 1981. [SIZE="5"][B] "Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You're crazy."[/B][/SIZE] -[B]-Associates of Edwin L. Drake refusing his suggestion to drill for oil in 1859.[/B] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/HCKhZ-kR.jpg[/IMG] Only one hundred fifty years passed by since the first attempt to dig out oil from the ground met such contempt, and now the whole world is trying to look for unimaginable places to satiate the thirst for money that is propelled and sustained on this black gold. [SIZE="5"]A rocket will never be able to leave the Earth%u2019s atmosphere.[/SIZE] [SIZE="5"][B]--New York Times, 1936.[/B][/SIZE] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/5EjESyBE.jpg[/IMG] 10 years later, in 1946, the first American-built rocket to leave the earth's atmosphere was launched from White Sands, attaining 50 miles of altitude. [SIZE="5"][B]CRail travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to breathe, would die of asphyxia.[/B][/SIZE] [B]--Dr Dionysys Larder (1793-1859) [/B] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/oaiDlnxq.jpg[/IMG] It may sound impossible to Dr Larder, professor of Natural Philosophy and Astronomy at the University College London back in the 1800, but in 1939 the first high speed train went from Milan to Florence at 165 km/h (102.5 mph). Thankfully no one died. Nowadays these trains go at 200 km/h (125 mph) and faster. [SIZE="5"][B] Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.[/B][/SIZE] [B]--Lord Kelvin, 1895. [/B] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/gZxKrld.jpg[/IMG] This was said by Lord Kelvin (British mathematician and physicist, president of the British Royal Society) only eight years before brothers Orville and Wilbur Wright took their home-built flyer to the sandy dunes of Kitty Hawk, cranked up the engine, and took off into the history books. [SIZE="5"][B]There will never be a bigger plane built." --A Boeing engineer, after the first flight of the 247, a twin engine plane that holds ten people. [/B][/SIZE] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/vfKU78mv.jpg[/IMG] What would this engineer say if he saw the current largest passenger plane on earth, the Airbus A380? The Airbus A380 has 50% more floor space than arch rival Boeing's 747 Jumbo, with room for duty-free shops, restaurants and even a sauna, and can provide site for up to 853 people. [SIZE="5"][B]"Ours has been the first [expedition], and doubtless to be the last, to visit this profitless locality."[/B][/SIZE] [B]---- Lt. Joseph Ives, after visiting the Grand Canyon in 1861. [/B] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/ZkvSh75y.jpg[/IMG] More than a century later, five million people annually visit this "profitless locality," by car, foot, air, and on the Colorado River itself. [SIZE="5"][B] "If excessive smoking actually plays a role in the production of lung cancer, it seems to be a minor one."[/B][/SIZE] [B]--W.C. Heuper, National Cancer Institute, 1954. [/B] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/8es4dEM.jpg[/IMG] In 1964 the United States Surgeon General's Report on Smoking and Health began suggesting the relationship between smoking and cancer, which confirmed its suggestions 20 years later in the 1980s. Nowadays, it%u2019s well known that long-term exposure to tobacco smoke is the most common causes of lung cancer. [B] [SIZE="5"]"You better get secretarial work or get married."[/SIZE] --Emmeline Snively, advising would-be model Marilyn Monroe in 1944. [/B] [IMG]http://imgkk.com/i/n3saOhyI.jpg[/IMG] In 1944, Marilyn Monroe was discovered by a photographer who encouraged her to apply to The Blue Book modeling agency. She was told by Snively, director of the Modelling Agency that she should became a secretary, besides they were looking for models with lighter hair. So Marilyn dyed her brunette hair to a golden blonde. She finally signed a contract with the agency. And of course, became Blue Book's most successful model.[/CENTER] [COLOR="Red"]soryy if repost[/COLOR] credit goes to original uploader [/QUOTE]
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