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Message: <blockquote data-quote="rukshrulz" data-source="post: 28411956" data-attributes="member: 482079">[ATTACH=full]191488[/ATTACH]NEW: Oxford mathematical model predicts route to the men's <a href="https://www.facebook.com/fifaworldcup/?__tn__=kK*F" target="_blank">FIFA World Cup</a> <img src="https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/taf/1/16/26bd.png" alt="⚽️" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /><img src="https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/tbe/1/16/1f3c6.png" alt="🏆" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" />The model - created by <a href="https://www.facebook.com/OxfordMathematics?__tn__=-]K*F" target="_blank">Oxford Mathematics</a> researcher Joshua Bull - forecasts:<img src="https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/tf2/1/16/1f3f4_e0067_e0062_e0077_e006c_e0073_e007f.png" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /> Wales to go out in the group stages<img src="https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/t38/1/16/1f3f4_e0067_e0062_e0065_e006e_e0067_e007f.png" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /> England to lose in the quarter-final<img src="https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/t48/1/16/1f1e6_1f1f7.png" alt="🇦🇷" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /> Argentina vs Brazil in the semi-final<img src="https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/t9/1/16/1f1e7_1f1f7.png" alt="🇧🇷" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /> Brazil to beat Belgium in the finalThe model simulated the group stages one million times and took the most common outcomes.The algorithm then simulated each knockout game 100,000 times.The model has been created by analysing team rating data from <a href="https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Feloratings.net%2F%3Ffbclid%3DIwAR1_lL11Rn29sGFRHdUUxeHKeED9Qmn45Yl85sTJlsIlxCrCFcW66FHDTC8&h=AT2r118sKddVCpD9oYyTN3z_hqgZgPnK2IRyJHKmagABcJvIt0vPQGnPkTpKlntjmND47Pi3R72hvTElYQrh1-AouAwe1KSi61YR1c_zs-UQBsrMXw55SaCO8VS1luGXQONqwg_mD04PCqML-Q&__tn__=-UK*F" target="_blank">http://eloratings.net</a>, focusing on every first-team international game since 2018.In this video, Joshua explains the model: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KjISuZ5o06Q&fbclid=IwAR0to8MvpWb5UqceQ-AOakGsqLA1iw6l0JYY4h15zPq180G3nqc6KsGgu6I" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KjISuZ5o06Q</a></blockquote>

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