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ElaKiri Talk!
About earthquakes.....
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<blockquote data-quote="imhotep" data-source="post: 28652352" data-attributes="member: 562115"><p>The answer is.... "There are more things in Heaven and Earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy.”</p><p></p><p>FYI... I never write on conjectures or what I imagine. Whatever content in my posts does have a basis. Animals do possess sensors way above humans. For example we have nearly 6 Million olfactory receptors. OTOH a dog has in excess of 100 Million of these with some breeds up to 300 Million. Also a dog has 40% more brain area than us used in smell discrimination. This enables a dog to detect one part per trillion. Moreover our noses have one airway path, but a dog's is split to enable it to have a continuous sniffing action to take place.</p><p>Dogs are trained to detect diseases such as cancer, diabetes, TB, malaria and now, Covid. Preposterous... Is it?</p><p></p><p>As per animals and quakes, didn't I mention it was a study done in Italy? Did you at least care do a search for it? Nope... <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/sad.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":(" title="Sad :(" data-shortname=":(" /></p><p></p><p>Please read the following.</p><p></p><h3><strong><span style="font-size: 15px">Potential short-term earthquake forecasting by farm animal monitoring - (03 July 2020 - Martin Wikelski et al)</span></strong></h3><p></p><p>Abstract:</p><p>Whether changes in animal behavior allow for short-term earthquake predictions has been debated for a long time. Before, during and after the 2016/2017 earthquake sequence in Italy, we deployed bio-logging tags to continuously observe the activity of farm animals (cows, dogs, and sheep) close to the epicenter of the devastating magnitude M6.6 Norcia earthquake (Oct–Nov 2016) and over a subsequent longer observation period (Jan–Apr 2017). Relating 5,304 (in 2016) and 12,948 (in 2017) earthquakes with a wide magnitude range (0.4 ≤ <em>M</em> ≤ 6.6) to continuously measured animal activity, we detected how the animals collectively reacted to earthquakes. We also found consistent anticipatory activity prior to earthquakes during times when the animals were in a building (stable), but not during their time on a pasture. We detected these anticipatory patterns not only in periods with high, but also in periods of low seismic activity. Earthquake anticipation times (1–20 hr) are negatively correlated with the distance between the farm and earthquake hypocenters. Our study suggests that continuous bio-logging of animal collectives has the potential to provide statistically reliable patterns of pre-seismic activity that could yield valuable insights for short-term earthquake forecasting. Based on a priori model parameters, we provide empirical threshold values for pre-seismic animal activities to be used in real-time observation stations.</p><p></p><p>One Sentence Summary:</p><p>A collective of domestic animals repeatedly showed unusually high activity levels before earthquakes, with anticipation times (1–20 hr) negatively related to distance from epicenters (5–28 km).</p><p></p><p><EOD></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="imhotep, post: 28652352, member: 562115"] The answer is.... "There are more things in Heaven and Earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy.” FYI... I never write on conjectures or what I imagine. Whatever content in my posts does have a basis. Animals do possess sensors way above humans. For example we have nearly 6 Million olfactory receptors. OTOH a dog has in excess of 100 Million of these with some breeds up to 300 Million. Also a dog has 40% more brain area than us used in smell discrimination. This enables a dog to detect one part per trillion. Moreover our noses have one airway path, but a dog's is split to enable it to have a continuous sniffing action to take place. Dogs are trained to detect diseases such as cancer, diabetes, TB, malaria and now, Covid. Preposterous... Is it? As per animals and quakes, didn't I mention it was a study done in Italy? Did you at least care do a search for it? Nope... :( Please read the following. [HEADING=2][B][SIZE=4]Potential short-term earthquake forecasting by farm animal monitoring - (03 July 2020 - Martin Wikelski et al)[/SIZE][/B][/HEADING] Abstract: Whether changes in animal behavior allow for short-term earthquake predictions has been debated for a long time. Before, during and after the 2016/2017 earthquake sequence in Italy, we deployed bio-logging tags to continuously observe the activity of farm animals (cows, dogs, and sheep) close to the epicenter of the devastating magnitude M6.6 Norcia earthquake (Oct–Nov 2016) and over a subsequent longer observation period (Jan–Apr 2017). Relating 5,304 (in 2016) and 12,948 (in 2017) earthquakes with a wide magnitude range (0.4 ≤ [I]M[/I] ≤ 6.6) to continuously measured animal activity, we detected how the animals collectively reacted to earthquakes. We also found consistent anticipatory activity prior to earthquakes during times when the animals were in a building (stable), but not during their time on a pasture. We detected these anticipatory patterns not only in periods with high, but also in periods of low seismic activity. Earthquake anticipation times (1–20 hr) are negatively correlated with the distance between the farm and earthquake hypocenters. Our study suggests that continuous bio-logging of animal collectives has the potential to provide statistically reliable patterns of pre-seismic activity that could yield valuable insights for short-term earthquake forecasting. Based on a priori model parameters, we provide empirical threshold values for pre-seismic animal activities to be used in real-time observation stations. One Sentence Summary: A collective of domestic animals repeatedly showed unusually high activity levels before earthquakes, with anticipation times (1–20 hr) negatively related to distance from epicenters (5–28 km). <EOD> [/QUOTE]
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