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ElaKiri Talk!
Coronavirus in Sri Lanka peaking around mid-August
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<blockquote data-quote="lodbrok" data-source="post: 25346511" data-attributes="member: 558599"><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><img src="https://i.imgur.com/d1y0GUh.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">ලංකාවෙ කොරෝනා පීක් එක එන්න තියෙන්නෙ අගෝස්තු මැද කියල තමයි මේකෙන් පෙන්නුම් කරන්නෙ.</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">මේක කියන ප්රොෆෙසර් කියනවා ඩේලි රේට් එක 270 විතර ඇවිල්ල ඒ වෙනකොට ඔක්කොම අය 21,500 විතර වෙයි කියල.</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">වැඩි විස්තර මෙතනින්: <a href="http://www.ft.lk/opinion/Sri-Lanka-s-corona-quandary-To-relax-or-not-to-relax/14-699073" target="_blank">http://www.ft.lk/opinion/Sri-Lanka-s-corona-quandary-To-relax-or-not-to-relax/14-699073</a></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Using data from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, the model estimates infections slightly increasing at about 3% per day. The model shows infection rate growing slowly and peaking at 270 per day with around 21,500 total infections at the peak. Without insight into whether systematic testing is occurring, Magdon-Ismail advises that the next few days will be telling to see if confirmed infections (red dots) are slowly increasing, or going down. </span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">“The country has managed to strongly social distance and bring the rate down drastically. The curfew is working, but it has prolonged the process, extending the peak into August. If the curfew does not bring the infections down to zero before herd immunity (where majority of population is immune) has built up, it all just restarts.”</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Red">Ultimately, what authorities need to keep in mind is making sure the solution (shutdown of the economy) is not worse than the problem initially posed. </span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="lodbrok, post: 25346511, member: 558599"] [SIZE="4"] [IMG]https://i.imgur.com/d1y0GUh.jpg[/IMG] ලංකාවෙ කොරෝනා පීක් එක එන්න තියෙන්නෙ අගෝස්තු මැද කියල තමයි මේකෙන් පෙන්නුම් කරන්නෙ. මේක කියන ප්රොෆෙසර් කියනවා ඩේලි රේට් එක 270 විතර ඇවිල්ල ඒ වෙනකොට ඔක්කොම අය 21,500 විතර වෙයි කියල. වැඩි විස්තර මෙතනින්: [URL="http://www.ft.lk/opinion/Sri-Lanka-s-corona-quandary-To-relax-or-not-to-relax/14-699073"]http://www.ft.lk/opinion/Sri-Lanka-s-corona-quandary-To-relax-or-not-to-relax/14-699073[/URL] Using data from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, the model estimates infections slightly increasing at about 3% per day. The model shows infection rate growing slowly and peaking at 270 per day with around 21,500 total infections at the peak. Without insight into whether systematic testing is occurring, Magdon-Ismail advises that the next few days will be telling to see if confirmed infections (red dots) are slowly increasing, or going down. “The country has managed to strongly social distance and bring the rate down drastically. The curfew is working, but it has prolonged the process, extending the peak into August. If the curfew does not bring the infections down to zero before herd immunity (where majority of population is immune) has built up, it all just restarts.” [COLOR="Red"]Ultimately, what authorities need to keep in mind is making sure the solution (shutdown of the economy) is not worse than the problem initially posed. [/COLOR] [/SIZE] [/QUOTE]
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