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<blockquote data-quote="netlife007" data-source="post: 20719912" data-attributes="member: 79514"><p><span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"><span style="color: DarkRed"><strong><span style="font-size: 22px">Developments and Trends</span></strong></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt.</span></span></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 years - and most people won't see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on film again?</span></span></span></span></span></p><p> <span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time. Soon, however, it jumped in quality and became mainstream in only a few short years. Look for the same chain of events in the field of Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution. Welcome to the Exponential Age.</span></span></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Garamond'"><span style="font-size: 18px"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.</span></span></span></p><p> <span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world. </span></span></span></p><p> <span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties.</span></span></span></p><p> <span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected. </span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. </span></span></span></p><p> <span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. </span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.</span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy"></span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Navy">Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence and will never own a car. </span></span></span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="netlife007, post: 20719912, member: 79514"] [FONT=Garamond][SIZE=5][COLOR=DarkRed][B][SIZE=6]Developments and Trends[/SIZE][/B][/COLOR] [FONT=Arial][SIZE=4][COLOR=Navy]In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 years - and most people won't see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on film again? Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time. Soon, however, it jumped in quality and became mainstream in only a few short years. Look for the same chain of events in the field of Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution. Welcome to the Exponential Age. [/COLOR][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=Arial][SIZE=4][COLOR=Navy] [/COLOR][/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=Arial][SIZE=4][COLOR=Navy] Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years. Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties. Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected. In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans. Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence and will never own a car. [/COLOR][/SIZE][/FONT] [/QUOTE]
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