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Message: <blockquote data-quote="rochel1977" data-source="post: 4915931" data-attributes="member: 371">Group FSri Lanka haven't yet lost a match in the tournament, but their first defeat could knock them out of the ICC World Twenty20. That's because New Zealand, the team they'll play on Tuesday, have a superior net run rate, and it will remain that way if Sri Lanka lose that game. If Pakistan win, they will almost certainly get through to the semi-finals along with New Zealand. So, even though Sri Lanka have a spotless record in the tournament so far, their narrow margin of victory against Ireland means they'll face a must-win situation again on Tuesday, unless Ireland repeat their World Cup heroics against Pakistan on Monday.Pakistan, for their part, face a must-win situation themselves. Thanks to their comprehensive win against New Zealand, their net run rate is good enough to ensure that a win by almost any margin will see them through. There is the extremely unlikely scenario of Pakistan's NRR dropping despite a win, and Sri Lanka's moving above Pakistan's despite a loss, but the likelihood of such a situation is so slim that it can almost certainly be ruled out.For New Zealand, the equation is simple - beat Sri Lanka and make it to the last four, lose and be knocked out.</blockquote>

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