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Message: <blockquote data-quote="imhotep" data-source="post: 28601365" data-attributes="member: 562115">A new video from Veritasium about the Sleeping Beauty puzzle. The puzzle originated in the 1980's. The Sleeping Beauty is given a special pill which puts her into immediate sleep and on her waking up, the pill wipes out her memory and thus she's briefed again. A fair coin (unbiased) is flipped to make the decisions.Seemingly the answer is obvious. Regardless of how many times Beauty undergoes her sleep/wake cycles, it does not change the probability of a fair coin toss. It is ½ or 50%.But there's more to this problem. First watch the video below.[MEDIA=youtube]XeSu9fBJ2sI[/MEDIA]PS: Those who are aware of Bayesian Probability would know that one needs to take the conditional probabilities of evidential experiences also into account.</blockquote>

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