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CSE -Stock Market -One year Double
- Thread starter slsal
- Start date
I hope MGT and TJL will recover, but we have to get realistic proof of the turning. Otherwise, without such proof, entering is extremely risky.new idea. thank you.
ChatGPT explanation:
This sentence is saying the biggest profits are often made when distressed (troubled) assets improve just a little bit — from very bad to slightly less bad.
Meaning in simple words
- A distressed asset = something that is performing very badly (e.g., a company near bankruptcy, a property in poor condition, a stock that crashed, a loan in default).
- Terrible → Bad = It is still not good, but it’s not as hopeless as before.
Example: a company goes from “likely to fail” to “might survive.”Why the most profit is made here
Because:
Example
- Prices are extremely low when things look “terrible.”
Investors are scared, so the asset becomes very cheap.- When things improve slightly (terrible → bad), the price jumps a lot.
Even a small positive change creates hope.- You don’t need the asset to become good—just less bad for big returns.
Example: A stock goes from Rs. 5 to Rs. 15 just because the company stabilised.
It’s still a “bad” company, but investors reprice it sharply.
Imagine a company whose share falls from Rs. 100 to Rs. 5 because it’s near collapse.
Then:
Now the market upgrades it from “terrible” to “bad.”
- It secures emergency funding.
- Losses reduce a bit.
- Bankruptcy risk goes down.
Share price rises from Rs. 5 → Rs. 20.
Profit = 300%, even though the company is still not “good.”
In finance terms
This is a classic distressed-investing strategy:
“Maximum returns occur when perception changes from catastrophic to survivable.”
Dont you think, MGT.N is in this situation. its a well performing company, but affected by Trumps tariffs. Its in terrible condition due to external factor. it will become less terrible or bad with market diversification or some other strategy.
@slsal, danukapeiris
your opinions please.
------ Post added on Nov 19, 2025 at 2:24 PM
political unrest ? govt is stable. Results of cooperative elections are negligible. what is your point?
market is some what heated. so a correction will come soon. but it wont collapse.
danukapeiris, @slsal your opinions please.
------ Post added on Nov 19, 2025 at 2:26 PM
The valuation can easily double without requiring extraordinary earnings growth
ethakota PE 10 da ? hahahah owa eththa kiyala hithana unoth innada bang
man gawath NTB thiyanawa. 20% up unoth hodatama ethi.Banks PER 10 wenakota anith ewa kiyeda thiyenna one
bank PE 5 une ayi kiyala baland . kohewath kiyala thiyanawada BANK PE 5 other 10 kiyala ?The valuation can easily double without requiring extraordinary earnings growth
hahahah owa eththa kiyala hithana unoth innada bang
Banks PER 10 wenakota anith ewa kiyeda thiyenna one
bank PE 5 une ayi kiyala baland . kohewath kiyala thiyanawada BANK PE 5 other 10 kiyala ?
earnings grow wenne nethuwa NTB eka double wenawa kiwwe oya neda ?
earnings wedi nowi double wenawa kiyanne PER 5 thibba eka 10 wena eka neda ?
thama NBFI wala PER ekath thiyenne 6-8 range eka net assets 100B wedi ewa wala
e nisa meka wenne ne. ekko uba danne ne. nettam dena dena anith unwa rawattanawa. deken ekak
mama ahapu presneta uthare dila na. mama ahuwe bank 5 pe thiyandath. anik ewa pe 10 -12 thiyendath hethuwa. mata hethuwa kiyanda puluwan. abayi ubama hithala balapan. mama kiyanne loke ohewath bank pe 5 anith ewa 10 kiyala na neda ? ubata okata hethuwa hitha ganda puluwan nam bank PE 10 trade wena dawasath hitha ganda puluwan weyiearnings grow wenne nethuwa NTB eka double wenawa kiwwe oya neda ?
earnings wedi nowi double wenawa kiyanne PER 5 thibba eka 10 wena eka neda ?
thama NBFI wala PER ekath thiyenne 6-8 range eka net assets 100B wedi ewa wala
e nisa meka wenne ne. ekko uba danne ne. nettam dena dena anith unwa rawattanawa. deken ekak
mama ahapu presneta uthare dila na. mama ahuwe bank 5 pe thiyandath. anik ewa pe 10 -12 thiyendath hethuwa. mata hethuwa kiyanda puluwan. abayi ubama hithala balapan. mama kiyanne loke ohewath bank pe 5 anith ewa 10 kiyala na neda ? ubata okata hethuwa hitha ganda puluwan nam bank PE 10 trade wena dawasath hitha ganda puluwan weyi
Eka eka sectors walata thiyana PER eka different kiyala amuthuwen kiyala denna one ne ne.
Normally banks wala PE eka ekka book value ekath consider wenawa. also Bank kiyanne loku entities with consistent same kind of performances. Ethakota ewa walata loku PER ekak enne ne. exceptional cases thiyenna puluwan, but in general man kiyanne
PER eka wedi wenne high expected earning, new development, news ekka yanakota. Bank ekaka ehema seen adui. NTB eka HSBC ganna seen ekedith react karapu widiyen oka therenawa. but PER 6 wage wenna one kiyala mama hithanawa. but ekath next year eka achieve kaloth loku deyak.
PER 10 banks yanawa kiyala oya kiyanawada next year ?? ethakota ASI eka kiyeda thiyenne ?
oya okkoma oya mawagatha ewa. oya kiyala thiyana ewa imaginary seen ekak misa attha nemyi. mama point 2 witharak dennam
1. 2010 kalin banks PE 10 wada CSE eke trade une kohomada ?
2. lankawa wage similar economices wala saha frontiermarketwala banks 10 PE wwalta wada trade wenne kohomada ? awurudu3-4 share market dakala samasthaya waradiyata dekinda epa. Bank PE 10 nemeyi ida wada unath yanda puluwan. habayi ekata ona prerequisite thiyanawa. ewa enda ona,
uba hithanne limited space ekak athule. out of box hithapan bn. ube twitter eke dala thiyenne " developing stories " wage ekak mata mathaka widihata. meke stories develop karanawa kiyanne market manipulate karana eka kiyalawath therenne nadda ubata
Monada e pre-requisites ? Ewa tika kiwwanam lesi ewa ilanga awurudde wenawada balanna ?
Banks next year PER 10 yanakota ASI kiyata yanawada ?
Developing stories kiyala dala thiyenne rate wena siddi gena talk karana ekai nethuwa boru katha hadala market manipulation nemei
Out of box hithapan. Kisi awulak ne. Mama kiwwe practically wenna puluwan dewal. Stories hadala pump dump karana ewa api hodata dekala katu kala thiyanawa. Den tikak amarui, e gona wikka
------ Post added on Nov 20, 2025 at 9:46 PM
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bump
man openly ahanne;
NTB eken right issue ekak nodunnoth, HSBC eken ena income eka nisa NTB loku growth ekak tyena ekak nedda?
@danukapeiris , @slsal , @hena7
------ Post added on Nov 21, 2025 at 9:45 PM
man openly ahanne;
NTB eken right issue ekak nodunnoth, HSBC eken ena income eka nisa NTB loku growth ekak tyena ekak nedda?
@danukapeiris , @slsal , @hena7
------ Post added on Nov 21, 2025 at 9:45 PM
25% growth ekak enawa price ekata. owa @danukapeiris gen nam ahala wadak na
owa share markat eke inna ekek dana ganda ona. okkoma danne ubata tution denda mata ona kamak na. ASI yanda ona thanata yayi. ASI gana hithala indiwidual share wala invest karana kramayak mage na. ayi ubath ekka me gana katha karala wadak na.
------ Post added on Nov 21, 2025 at 10:49 PM
owa share markat eke inna ekek dana ganda ona. okkoma danne ubata tution denda mata ona kamak na. ASI yanda ona thanata yayi. ASI gana hithala indiwidual share wala invest karana kramayak mage na. ayi ubath ekka me gana katha karala wadak na.
------ Post added on Nov 21, 2025 at 10:50 PM
25% growth ekak enawa price ekata. owa @danukapeiris gen nam ahala wadak na
uba katha karanne 100% improvement ekak gena next year eke. eka kiyapan baila gahanne nethuwa. 25% gari. ko anith 75%
hahaha oya enne lassanata ube boruwa. ahana ekata uththara ne. shape eka skip karanawa. uba kiwwa NTB eka double wenawa kiyala earnings wedi wenne nethuwa. e kiyanne PER 10. ekata prerequisite thiyanawa kiwwa. eka ehuwama market eke inna okkoma un dannawalu. mat tuition denna one ne lu. ane yako uba thani boruwak methana arinne. eka thama ubata kiyaganna beri. ona gonekta therenawa PER 5 thiyana sector ekak PE 10 wenna be kiyala next year ekedi. ehema wenna puluan sector ekak nemei banks kiyanne. uba deyak kiyanawanam eka wena widiya kiyapan tuition denna be baila nethuwa.
me thiyenne ube ali talks:
meka yana widiya kiyapan. apitath ganna puluwanne. uba deyak methana dannema anith unwath ekata edala gannane. ethakota prasnayak ehuwama uttara deepan. uttara denna beri ewa danna epa. moko hema ekama konde bedapu cheennu nemei machan
hahaha yanna one thenata yanawa. eka mama dannawa. hebei banking sector eka PER 5 idala PER 10 denakota ASI eka kochchara udata yanna uneda kiyala ubata idea ekak thiyenna one. ethakota ubata therei oka realistic da nedda kiyala. banks PE 10 thiyanakota anith sectors mona PER ekeda thiyanne one. owata uttara denna ubata be. uba ena pota hoda nethi hinda thama skip karala yanne.
man meka methana inna anith uta kiyanne
one year walin double wena shares thiyenna puluwan. hebei eka hithana tharam lesiyen predict karannath be. predict karala thiyanawanam kattiya denmama ewa collect karalaa gain wala inna one.
example ekak ekka YORK eka subdivision news eka ekka mara gehillak gahanawa. HARI eka damika gannakota gehuwa. anna e wage deyak wela yanna puluwan. but apita eka den predict karanna be. ewa wala insider news enne directors lata connect parties walata.
banking sector eka kiyanne godak welawata ape economic eke mirror eka. moko banks walata magic pennanna be. aggressive approach karannath be lokuwata. eka CBSL eken regulate wenawa. bank ekaka thiyana products monada kiyala api dannawa. ape economy eka yana widiyath api dannawa. world situation api dannawa. me okkoma ekka apita economy eke loku deyak next year eke expect karanna be. anika IMF agreement eka continue wenawa. me widiyatama giyoth positive but eka 100% improve wenna reason ekak wenne ne. e nisa banking sector eka practically PER5 idala 10 wenna be. namuth PER 6 wenawanam eka mara improvement ekak. moko eke affect eka lokuwata ASI ekata enawa
earning wedi nowi deyak double wenawa kiyanne thanikara boruwak. moko eka kiyana eka dannawa earnings ehema wedi karanna banks wala be kiyala. me year eke banks godak weda demme impairment reversal walin. den yanne normal run ekak. godak banks wala yearend eka DEC 2025 walin wenawa ethakota apita balanna puluwan story eka.
lankawe economy eka thama volatile e nisa market parissamin run kaloth hodai. me wage pacha walin form wela boost kaloth blood bath thama balanna wenne ita passe market crash wela
ehenam api giya kolla. uba thread walata ehenam api ayith enne ne. uba thaniyama kattiyawa andan hitapan
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hodatama ridila
menna me prasna dekata uthara hoya ganda . obata nopenena isawwa penneyi
1. 2010 kalin lankawe banks PE 10 wada trade une keseda ?
2. similar economieswala shaha frontier markets wala bank more than 10 PE trade wenne kesseda ?
oya presna dekata utthara hoya gatthoth obata ma pennana maga penewi
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