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<blockquote data-quote="macfa" data-source="post: 24894561" data-attributes="member: 559756"><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">In 2015</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">MR won 10 Sinhala majority districts with - 55%</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">MR lost 12 other districts with - 25%</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">MS won 10 Tamil/Muslim majority districts with - 75%</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">MR lost 12 Sinhala majority districts with - 45%</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Total registered voters in 2019 Presidential Election 15,992,096 - 160 laks</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Sinhala Votes 74% - 118.4 laks</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Others Votes 26% - 41.6 laks</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Total polled votes- 129.47 laks</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Rejected votes 1% - 1.2947 laks</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Total valid votes - 128.17 laks</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Sinhala turnout 83% - 98.27 (less rejected 1% - 0.9827) - 97.28 laks (Sinhala votes)</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Other turnout 75% - 31.2 (less rejected 1% - 0.312) - 30.89 laks (Tamil/Muslim votes)</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">===========================</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: DarkRed"><strong>Gotabaya Rajapaksa</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>sin 55% - 53.50 laks</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>other 20% - 6.17 laks</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>total - 59.67 laks 46.55%</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Will win:</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Anuradhapura</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Galle</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Gampaha</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Hambantota</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Kalutara</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Kurunegala</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Matara</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Monaragala</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Polonnaruwa</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Ratnapura = 10</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: DarkGreen"><strong>Sajith Premadasa</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Scenario 1</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">sin 40% - 38.91 laks </span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">other 80% - 24.71 laks </span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">total - 63.62 laks 49.43% </span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Scenario 2</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">sin 40% - 38.91 laks</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">other 75% - 23.16 laks</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">total - 62.07 laks 48.42% </span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>Scenario 3</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>sin 39% - 37.94 laks</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>other 73% - 22.55 laks</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>total - 60.49 laks 47.19%</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong></strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>NPP</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>total - 6.41 laks 5.0%</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>Others</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><span style="color: Magenta"><strong>total - 1.43 laks 1.12%</strong></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Will win:</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Badulla</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Batticaloa</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Colombo</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Digamadulla</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Jaffna</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Kandy</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Kegalle</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Matale</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Nuwara Eliya</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Puttalam</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Trincomalee</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Vanni = 12</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong><span style="color: Red"><span style="font-size: 15px">Sajith - 47%-48% (ලක්ෂ 60-61)</span></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong><span style="color: Red"><span style="font-size: 15px">Gotabaya - 46%-47% (ලක්ෂ 59-60)</span></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong><span style="color: Red"><span style="font-size: 15px">Anura - 5% (ලක්ෂ 6.5 )</span></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong><span style="color: Red"><span style="font-size: 15px">Others - 1% (ලක්ෂ1.5)</span></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong><span style="color: Red"><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong><span style="color: Red"><span style="font-size: 15px">සජිත් දිනනවා වැඩි ඡන්ද ලක්ෂයකට අඩු ගානක් අරගෙන හරි </span></span></strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Reasons for Sajith's win despite government shortcomings:</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Sajith's popularity among rural poor</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Tamils, Muslims hate Gota more than MR</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">And because of those who got direct benefits like:-</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Niwasa naya for - 386,000 families including Gam udawa housing for 65,000+</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Houses for Colombo poor - 15,000+ houses</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Houses for north, east, upcountry - 50,000+ houses</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">New Samarudhi for - 450,000 families</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">"Poshana malla" for pregnant mothers - 275,000+ mothers per year</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">"Wadihiti deemana" increase by - 200,000+ persons</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Suraksha claims - 75,850+ students</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Suwaseria hospitalizations - 274,545</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Doubling - government employee salaries(107%), samurdhi, mahapola</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Increasing - pensions with arrears, scholarships</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px">On November 8 or 10th, half a million pensioners will get increased penshions with 5 months arrears.</span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="macfa, post: 24894561, member: 559756"] [SIZE="4"] In 2015 MR won 10 Sinhala majority districts with - 55% MR lost 12 other districts with - 25% MS won 10 Tamil/Muslim majority districts with - 75% MR lost 12 Sinhala majority districts with - 45% Total registered voters in 2019 Presidential Election 15,992,096 - 160 laks Sinhala Votes 74% - 118.4 laks Others Votes 26% - 41.6 laks Total polled votes- 129.47 laks Rejected votes 1% - 1.2947 laks Total valid votes - 128.17 laks Sinhala turnout 83% - 98.27 (less rejected 1% - 0.9827) - 97.28 laks (Sinhala votes) Other turnout 75% - 31.2 (less rejected 1% - 0.312) - 30.89 laks (Tamil/Muslim votes) =========================== [COLOR="DarkRed"][B]Gotabaya Rajapaksa[/B][/COLOR] [COLOR="Magenta"][B]sin 55% - 53.50 laks other 20% - 6.17 laks total - 59.67 laks 46.55%[/B][/COLOR] Will win: Anuradhapura Galle Gampaha Hambantota Kalutara Kurunegala Matara Monaragala Polonnaruwa Ratnapura = 10 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ [COLOR="DarkGreen"][B]Sajith Premadasa[/B][/COLOR] Scenario 1 sin 40% - 38.91 laks other 80% - 24.71 laks total - 63.62 laks 49.43% Scenario 2 sin 40% - 38.91 laks other 75% - 23.16 laks total - 62.07 laks 48.42% [COLOR="Magenta"][B]Scenario 3 sin 39% - 37.94 laks other 73% - 22.55 laks total - 60.49 laks 47.19% NPP total - 6.41 laks 5.0% Others total - 1.43 laks 1.12%[/B][/COLOR] Will win: Badulla Batticaloa Colombo Digamadulla Jaffna Kandy Kegalle Matale Nuwara Eliya Puttalam Trincomalee Vanni = 12 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ [B][COLOR="Red"][SIZE="4"]Sajith - 47%-48% (ලක්ෂ 60-61) Gotabaya - 46%-47% (ලක්ෂ 59-60) Anura - 5% (ලක්ෂ 6.5 ) Others - 1% (ලක්ෂ1.5) සජිත් දිනනවා වැඩි ඡන්ද ලක්ෂයකට අඩු ගානක් අරගෙන හරි [/SIZE][/COLOR][/B] Reasons for Sajith's win despite government shortcomings: Sajith's popularity among rural poor Tamils, Muslims hate Gota more than MR And because of those who got direct benefits like:- Niwasa naya for - 386,000 families including Gam udawa housing for 65,000+ Houses for Colombo poor - 15,000+ houses Houses for north, east, upcountry - 50,000+ houses New Samarudhi for - 450,000 families "Poshana malla" for pregnant mothers - 275,000+ mothers per year "Wadihiti deemana" increase by - 200,000+ persons Suraksha claims - 75,850+ students Suwaseria hospitalizations - 274,545 Doubling - government employee salaries(107%), samurdhi, mahapola Increasing - pensions with arrears, scholarships On November 8 or 10th, half a million pensioners will get increased penshions with 5 months arrears.[/SIZE] [/QUOTE]
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