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<blockquote data-quote="Sri Lankan Editor" data-source="post: 24929442" data-attributes="member: 566106"><p>Me maage nihathamaani anaawakiya:</p><p></p><p>My Humble Predictions for 2019 Presidential Elections of Sri Lanka:</p><p></p><p>All Island:</p><p>SLPP / GR: <strong>50.0%</strong></p><p>UNP / SP: <strong>43.5%</strong></p><p>JVP / AKD: <strong>5.5%</strong></p><p>Others: <strong>1%</strong></p><p></p><p>My Electorates (Posh / Swing Electorates [e.g. Colombo coastal electorates]):</p><p>SLPP / GR: 46.0%</p><p>UNP / SP: 49.0%</p><p>JVP / AKD: 4.0%</p><p>Others: 1% </p><p></p><p>Margin of Error: +/- 3%</p><p></p><p>Mage anawaki waradunoth, eya waradenne mama hora chanda ganan karapu nathi nisa. <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/yes.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":yes:" title="Yes :yes:" data-shortname=":yes:" /><img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/P.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":P" title=":P :P" data-shortname=":P" /></p><p></p><p></p><p>Me paara <strong>key events / turning points</strong>:</p><p></p><p>Mona wunath, 2020 General Elections harahaa <strong>Prime Minister</strong> ta thamai loku balaya thiyenne. President ta limited powers thiyenne.</p><p></p><p>SLPP or UNP led coalitions pamanai aasana dinanne. Wena kisima pakshayak aasanayak wath dinanne natha.</p><p></p><p>Me paara elections kalin ewata wada <strong>peaceful </strong>wenawa and hora chanda watena eka adu wenawa (2010 ta wadaa godaak adui) <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/happy.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":)" title="Happy :)" data-shortname=":)" /></p><p></p><p>Me paara <strong>awalangu chanda </strong>ganana adu wenne nathi wei... wadi wenawa samahara aasana wala </p><p></p><p>Nov 17 paandara pahu welaa ude wenakota pamanai hariyata dinne kawuda kiyala hoyaganna haki wenne <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/yes.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":yes:" title="Yes :yes:" data-shortname=":yes:" /></p><p></p><p>JVP and anith paksha godak me paara tharaga karanne paawena Sinhala Buddhist vote eka kadanna. Meya UNP eke 2019 saha 2020 loss ekata lokuma hethuwa wenawa. </p><p>Paawena Tamil / Moor votes kadenne naha, radical votes pamanai kadenne.</p><p></p><p>UNP ekata Gamini Dissanayakegen pasuwa labunne nathi village / rural votes tikak SP gannawa but meya pramaanawath wenne naha dinanna</p><p></p><p>Molaya thiyenawa kiyala hithaagena inna minissu AKD or vikalpa wage ragapaana paksha / pudgalayanta chande denawa, loku paksha dekama epaa kiyala but meya sathyakinma hari decision eka newei saha wadima wunoth 7.5% thamai yanne outside UNP and SLPP (no offense <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/rolleyes.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":rolleyes:" title="Rolleyes :rolleyes:" data-shortname=":rolleyes:" />)</p><p></p><p>Posh and rich voters la kohomath UNP denawa me paarath meyala thamai company owners and inventors wenne, jobs create karanne saha aluth dewal plus technology Lanakwata introduce karanne. <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/happy.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":)" title="Happy :)" data-shortname=":)" /></p><p></p><p>Kula, aagam, jaathi, pradesha, saha anikuth bedha thamai wadima voting decisions theeranaya karanne mokada owa nathuwa politicians / parties walata janathaawa control karanna baha.. mewa pamanak balala hama aasanayakama dinanne kawuda kiyala kiyanna puluwan, percentages kiyanna amaru wei <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/sad.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":(" title="Sad :(" data-shortname=":(" /></p><p></p><p>SLFP kotasak SLPP wirudda wunaa kiyala SLPP ekata chanda kadenne bohoma tikai</p><p></p><p>Samahara posh and rich young aya, incl. IT specialists, vote karanne yanne naha pandithakama nisa (0.3% to 0.6%).. eyala vote karanne yanne nathi eka ada prashanayak newei but mema trend eka wadi wunoth, Lankawe future politics thawath upset yanawa</p><p></p><p>Muslim / Moor votes will go with their political leaders</p><p>Most Tamil votes will go with their political leaders</p><p>Tamil voters in the Northern Province will have slightly lower turnout again</p><p></p><p>If SLPP wins the 2019 Presidential election, the 2020 General elections will be an easy win for them</p><p>They will win 120 to 125 seats</p><p></p><p>If UNP wins the 2019 Presidential election, the 2020 General elections will be tough but they will get cross-over politicians and parties to win a majority in Parliament</p><p></p><p>Once again, the stock market (CSE) and other financial / development indicators will rise more if UNP wins but will rise slightly if SLPP wins.</p><p></p><p>Me paara SLPP dinnoth, wame / left deshapalanaya thawa duratath Lankawe raja karanawa saha meya hodha deyak newei namuth GR sathyakinma market economy ekak karaa yanawaanam and eyalage illegal political business control karoth, loku awulak wenne naha.</p><p></p><p>UNP dinnoth, market economy will increase and will be good for legal businesses but meka wenna tika kalak yai mokada taxation and bank interest policies eyala change karapu nisa.</p><p></p><p>SLPP dinnoth, TV and media channels godak epaththata bara wenawa saha kuhaka wenawa. Meka epaa wenawa saha social media wunath epaththata bara wenawa. Kunuharapa saha upset dewal wadi wenawa saha eelagata enna inna tharuna lamai godak corrupt wenawa. Kunuharpa kiyana deya saamaana deyak wenawa. Meya ithaa haanikarai.</p><p>UNP dinnoth, Rajapaksha channels tika General Elections ekata wenakan loku praharayak karanawa mokada me paara Prime Ministerial designation eka thamai balawath.</p><p></p><p>Monawa wunath, 2020 General Elections passeth, danata inna Lankawa thawath kaapu politicials okkoma wage Parliament ekata yanawa. Eka nawaththanna GR or SP ta baha, janathawata pamanai puluwan namuth Lankawata ehema waasanaawak natha. <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/default/sad.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":(" title="Sad :(" data-shortname=":(" /></p><p></p><p>Overall, mama kamathi Gamini Dissanayake, Lalith Athulathmudali, Anil Moonesinghe, Buddhika Pathirana, Lakshman Kadiragama, D.S. Senanayake, saha Harin Fernando wage aya pamanak Parliament ekata enawaanam.</p><p>Mokada Lankawa diyunu wenne naha minissu ho politicians la diyunu wenakan.</p><p>Lankawe minissu harigassanna baha, karanna prayogika wade thamai politicians lawa harigassana eka.</p><p>Ehema nathnam, Lankawe popular vote ekata amatharawa, delegates vote system ekak denna ona.</p><p></p><p>2015 di PE and GE anawekiya dekama hari giya but 2018 Local Council elections predictions waraduna (laawata).</p><p>Mata hithenawa me paraath waradi kiyala... waradunoth mata eka waawaganna bari wei.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Sri Lankan Editor, post: 24929442, member: 566106"] Me maage nihathamaani anaawakiya: My Humble Predictions for 2019 Presidential Elections of Sri Lanka: All Island: SLPP / GR: [B]50.0%[/B] UNP / SP: [B]43.5%[/B] JVP / AKD: [B]5.5%[/B] Others: [B]1%[/B] My Electorates (Posh / Swing Electorates [e.g. Colombo coastal electorates]): SLPP / GR: 46.0% UNP / SP: 49.0% JVP / AKD: 4.0% Others: 1% Margin of Error: +/- 3% Mage anawaki waradunoth, eya waradenne mama hora chanda ganan karapu nathi nisa. :yes::P Me paara [B]key events / turning points[/B]: Mona wunath, 2020 General Elections harahaa [B]Prime Minister[/B] ta thamai loku balaya thiyenne. President ta limited powers thiyenne. SLPP or UNP led coalitions pamanai aasana dinanne. Wena kisima pakshayak aasanayak wath dinanne natha. Me paara elections kalin ewata wada [B]peaceful [/B]wenawa and hora chanda watena eka adu wenawa (2010 ta wadaa godaak adui) :) Me paara [B]awalangu chanda [/B]ganana adu wenne nathi wei... wadi wenawa samahara aasana wala Nov 17 paandara pahu welaa ude wenakota pamanai hariyata dinne kawuda kiyala hoyaganna haki wenne :yes: JVP and anith paksha godak me paara tharaga karanne paawena Sinhala Buddhist vote eka kadanna. Meya UNP eke 2019 saha 2020 loss ekata lokuma hethuwa wenawa. Paawena Tamil / Moor votes kadenne naha, radical votes pamanai kadenne. UNP ekata Gamini Dissanayakegen pasuwa labunne nathi village / rural votes tikak SP gannawa but meya pramaanawath wenne naha dinanna Molaya thiyenawa kiyala hithaagena inna minissu AKD or vikalpa wage ragapaana paksha / pudgalayanta chande denawa, loku paksha dekama epaa kiyala but meya sathyakinma hari decision eka newei saha wadima wunoth 7.5% thamai yanne outside UNP and SLPP (no offense :rolleyes:) Posh and rich voters la kohomath UNP denawa me paarath meyala thamai company owners and inventors wenne, jobs create karanne saha aluth dewal plus technology Lanakwata introduce karanne. :) Kula, aagam, jaathi, pradesha, saha anikuth bedha thamai wadima voting decisions theeranaya karanne mokada owa nathuwa politicians / parties walata janathaawa control karanna baha.. mewa pamanak balala hama aasanayakama dinanne kawuda kiyala kiyanna puluwan, percentages kiyanna amaru wei :( SLFP kotasak SLPP wirudda wunaa kiyala SLPP ekata chanda kadenne bohoma tikai Samahara posh and rich young aya, incl. IT specialists, vote karanne yanne naha pandithakama nisa (0.3% to 0.6%).. eyala vote karanne yanne nathi eka ada prashanayak newei but mema trend eka wadi wunoth, Lankawe future politics thawath upset yanawa Muslim / Moor votes will go with their political leaders Most Tamil votes will go with their political leaders Tamil voters in the Northern Province will have slightly lower turnout again If SLPP wins the 2019 Presidential election, the 2020 General elections will be an easy win for them They will win 120 to 125 seats If UNP wins the 2019 Presidential election, the 2020 General elections will be tough but they will get cross-over politicians and parties to win a majority in Parliament Once again, the stock market (CSE) and other financial / development indicators will rise more if UNP wins but will rise slightly if SLPP wins. Me paara SLPP dinnoth, wame / left deshapalanaya thawa duratath Lankawe raja karanawa saha meya hodha deyak newei namuth GR sathyakinma market economy ekak karaa yanawaanam and eyalage illegal political business control karoth, loku awulak wenne naha. UNP dinnoth, market economy will increase and will be good for legal businesses but meka wenna tika kalak yai mokada taxation and bank interest policies eyala change karapu nisa. SLPP dinnoth, TV and media channels godak epaththata bara wenawa saha kuhaka wenawa. Meka epaa wenawa saha social media wunath epaththata bara wenawa. Kunuharapa saha upset dewal wadi wenawa saha eelagata enna inna tharuna lamai godak corrupt wenawa. Kunuharpa kiyana deya saamaana deyak wenawa. Meya ithaa haanikarai. UNP dinnoth, Rajapaksha channels tika General Elections ekata wenakan loku praharayak karanawa mokada me paara Prime Ministerial designation eka thamai balawath. Monawa wunath, 2020 General Elections passeth, danata inna Lankawa thawath kaapu politicials okkoma wage Parliament ekata yanawa. Eka nawaththanna GR or SP ta baha, janathawata pamanai puluwan namuth Lankawata ehema waasanaawak natha. :( Overall, mama kamathi Gamini Dissanayake, Lalith Athulathmudali, Anil Moonesinghe, Buddhika Pathirana, Lakshman Kadiragama, D.S. Senanayake, saha Harin Fernando wage aya pamanak Parliament ekata enawaanam. Mokada Lankawa diyunu wenne naha minissu ho politicians la diyunu wenakan. Lankawe minissu harigassanna baha, karanna prayogika wade thamai politicians lawa harigassana eka. Ehema nathnam, Lankawe popular vote ekata amatharawa, delegates vote system ekak denna ona. 2015 di PE and GE anawekiya dekama hari giya but 2018 Local Council elections predictions waraduna (laawata). Mata hithenawa me paraath waradi kiyala... waradunoth mata eka waawaganna bari wei. [/QUOTE]
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