UK SIREN Study findings on Vaccine Effectiveness & Durability of Protection.

imhotep

Well-known member
  • Mar 29, 2017
    14,847
    8
    35,414
    113
    The UK SIREN Study which started in March 2020 and ran till September 2021 on "The impact of detectable anti SARS-COV2 antibody on the incidence of COVID-19 in healthcare workers" has recently submitted a preprint on Vaccine effectiveness & the Durability of protection.

    Methods - We assessed vaccine effectiveness (VE) (up to 10-months after first dose) and infection-acquired immunity by comparing time to PCR-confirmed infection in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals using a Cox regression-model, adjusted by prior SARS-CoV-2 infection status, vaccine-manufacturer/dosing-interval, demographics and workplace exposures.

    Results - Of 35,768 participants, 27% (n=9,488) had a prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Vaccine coverage was high: 97% had two-doses (79% BNT162b2 long-interval, 8% BNT162b2 short-interval, 8% ChAdOx1). There were 2,747 primary infections and 210 reinfections between 07/12/2020 and 21/09/2021. Adjusted VE (aVE) decreased from 81% (95% CI 68%-89%) 14-73 days after dose-2 to 46% (95% CI 22%-63%) >6-months; with no significant difference for short-interval BNT162b2 but significantly lower aVE (50% (95% CI 18%-70%) 14-73 days after dose-2 from ChAdOx1. Protection from infection-acquired immunity showed evidence of waning in unvaccinated follow-up but remained consistently over 90% in those who received two doses of vaccine, even in those infected over 15-months ago.

    Conclusion Two doses of BNT162b2 vaccination induce high short-term protection to SARS-CoV-2 infection, which wanes significantly after six months. Infection-acquired immunity boosted with vaccination remains high over a year after infection. Boosters will be essential to maintain protection in vaccinees who have not had primary infection to reduce infection and transmission in this population.

    PS: In short, the findings of the study revealed that vaccination with two doses of BNT162b2, at a short or long-interval, induced high protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection (asymptomatic and symptomatic) in the short term; however, this protection waned after six months, when the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant became the predominant circulating strain.

    The overall protection provided by two doses of ChAdOX1 was considerably lower than that given by BNT162b2. However, infection-acquired immunity boosted with vaccination-induced immunity remained high over a year after infection. Based on these observations, the authors recommend the strategic use of booster vaccines to prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection and transmission in the population.
     

    warwickuni

    Well-known member
  • May 21, 2008
    4,347
    1
    4,031
    113
    There is nothing unusual as all vaccines will wane over period of time if there is no infection. Since infection or exposed to virus is risky, the booster is the way out. (similar to Flue jabs in west and Rabies injection to Gogs etc). The find from research is 6 month time period, which supported high infection after 6 months in populations with fully vaccination.