Seems like a really convoluted, hand wavy conclusion. However, it certainly seems plausible.
Green revolution was causing serious risk to the Russian economy that was dependent upon energy exports. There's always a tipping point in any sort of revolution, and when it is reached, there's no going back. Electric cars are one such revolution.
If the Green revolution continued on and green energy became self fulfilling, there's no way Russian economy can survive. So what if Putin deliberately invaded Ukraine and kept it dragging on so that the Green revolution had to pause lest the whole of Europe freezes over come this winter?
He could have easily foreseen the ineffective Western sanctions will do nothing except cosmetic damage. China and India are already buying more Russian energy than they could ever sell to Europe in the coming years. They've even managed to remove some of the "dollar plugs", as JVP would say. Ruble is actually stronger now in real exchange terms, because Russia needs to spend much less dollars for imports. China and India both accept Ruble payments.
Therefore if this is true, this was a well thought out master stroke by Putin. Nuclear plants are opening back up, and just check which country exports cheapest and most abundant Uranium ore. (technically Kazakhstan but check who's providing machinery and infrastructure, and also, who borders it if Putin wants to get creative again
)
Europeans already have pants on fire. (or rather ice) They have realized that no other green energy type is available in the dead of the winter. (Very little solar and no economically viable wind power.) Green revolution means there could be some infrastructure in the future to handle this, but they'll never get there this winter. That'll give Russia enough time to have a finger in the next pie.
Again, this is a convoluted reasoning, but interesting to think about.
Green revolution was causing serious risk to the Russian economy that was dependent upon energy exports. There's always a tipping point in any sort of revolution, and when it is reached, there's no going back. Electric cars are one such revolution.
If the Green revolution continued on and green energy became self fulfilling, there's no way Russian economy can survive. So what if Putin deliberately invaded Ukraine and kept it dragging on so that the Green revolution had to pause lest the whole of Europe freezes over come this winter?
He could have easily foreseen the ineffective Western sanctions will do nothing except cosmetic damage. China and India are already buying more Russian energy than they could ever sell to Europe in the coming years. They've even managed to remove some of the "dollar plugs", as JVP would say. Ruble is actually stronger now in real exchange terms, because Russia needs to spend much less dollars for imports. China and India both accept Ruble payments.
Therefore if this is true, this was a well thought out master stroke by Putin. Nuclear plants are opening back up, and just check which country exports cheapest and most abundant Uranium ore. (technically Kazakhstan but check who's providing machinery and infrastructure, and also, who borders it if Putin wants to get creative again
)Europeans already have pants on fire. (or rather ice) They have realized that no other green energy type is available in the dead of the winter. (Very little solar and no economically viable wind power.) Green revolution means there could be some infrastructure in the future to handle this, but they'll never get there this winter. That'll give Russia enough time to have a finger in the next pie.
Again, this is a convoluted reasoning, but interesting to think about.
