MAHINDA RAJAPAKSHA VS SARATH FONSEKA... DETAILED POLL

carefully read and vote

  • i voted for MR last time and will vote him this time also

    Votes: 81 32.1%
  • i voted for Ranil last time and will vote for MR this time

    Votes: 2 0.8%
  • i didnt vote last time and will vote for MR this time

    Votes: 27 10.7%
  • i voted for MR last time but will not vote for MR or SF this time

    Votes: 3 1.2%
  • i voted for Ranil last time and will vote for SF this time

    Votes: 42 16.7%
  • i voted for MR last time but will vote for SF this time

    Votes: 48 19.0%
  • i didnt vote for any one last time and will vote SF this time

    Votes: 47 18.7%
  • i voted for ranil last time and will not vote for SF or MR this time

    Votes: 2 0.8%

  • Total voters
    252
Aug 19, 2008
11,653
167
0
Sri Lanka
Ane deyiyane
Mata me mokada une?

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dinuwije

Well-known member
  • Oct 18, 2006
    5,284
    648
    113
    42
    Moratuwa
    on analysis on how people have voted....

    For mahinda....

    1)The 24 people who will vote for mahinda this time have voted for him even before(31.17%) being SLFP'ers by birth...No surprises there

    2)The 5 ppl who hadn't voted for anyone last time but will vote for MR i believe are new voters from SLFp families...(6.49%)

    For Sarath..

    1)The 16 ppl who voted for Ranil last time & will vote for SF are born UNP'ers who will vote for anyone except for SLFP...No surprises there too..(21%)

    2)The 14 ppl who voted MR last time but will vote SF this time represent the swing votes block (18.18%)..SF has managed to grab the swing voters better than mahinda as it shows

    3)The 17 people (22.58%) who had not voted before are fresh voters from UNP/JVP families,PPl whose votes were cut during last time elections(such as myself) & ppl who were tired of the political situation in this country till now & will come forward for the 1st time to make a change

    So in conclusion,MR will only manage to grab the votes of SLFP families but SF will benefit from 35% fixed vote block of UNP,5% fixed vote block of JVP plus majority of 1st time voters & floating votes....

    So i can safely predict that SF will win the election with a 52-55% unless some drastic elections malpractices take place regarding to 200,000 IDP votes..

    This is purely my opinion....anyone else will have a different opinion than this...& I purely respect that.......


    I did a mini analysis when the vote count was 77....the situation in terms of percentage hasn't changed much since....
     

    supgama

    Member
    Jul 8, 2009
    479
    7
    0
    thank you friends for your interest...
    still overall difference is not statistically proven..
    and EK members represent young population with internet access. so they think differently compared to older population who listn to radia news for example. i m planning to put another poll to get these information tonight. then we can analyse whole thing better....
     

    dinuwije

    Well-known member
  • Oct 18, 2006
    5,284
    648
    113
    42
    Moratuwa
    thank you friends for your interest...
    still overall difference is not statistically proven..
    and EK members represent young population with internet access. so they think differently compared to older population who listn to radia news for example. i m planning to put another poll to get these information tonight. then we can analyse whole thing better....

    good...
     

    anuradhamapa

    Well-known member
  • Aug 23, 2006
    13,500
    3,736
    113
    i voted for MR last time and will vote him this time also..

    sf wage desha drohiyekuta chande denne ne