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මම ඕකෙම අනිත් පැත්ත කලා UsDT වලට. රනිලා ඇවිල්ලා එක පාරට USD එක 380 ට වගේ අඩු කලා මතකද P2P තිබ්බේ 420ta වගේ. ඔක්කොම දීලා දැම්මා
උබලට මතකද මීට දවස් ගානකට උඩදී කිව්වා සංචිත වැඩි වෙලා ඩොලර් බිලියන 2 ක් කියලා මට හිතෙන්නේ ආපහු පරන සෙල්ලම පටන් අරං වගේ ඒ සල්ලි වලින් වියාජව මිල පාලනය කරනවා වෙන්න බැරිද අනික සගෝ මෙහෙම කරලා රටවල් ගොඩදාන්න පුලුවන්නම් කවුරුත් කරයිනේ අපරාදේනේ දකුනු කොරියාව ග්රීසිය වගේ රටවල් මහන්සි වෙලා තියෙන්නේ ඔය ක්රමෙන් රට ගොඩගියොත් ආර්තික විදයාවට අලුත් මූලදර්මෙකුත් ගෙනෙයි රනිල් තියරි කියලා
නහයෙන් අඬන්නේ නැතිව මේක බලන්න
https://elakiri.com/threads/rupee-is-likely-to-further-appreciate-says-ndb-securities.2094550/
තම ලංකාව න්යා ගෙවන්න පටන් ගත්තේ නෑ බන්. import restrictions ටිකයි foreign ණය & පොළියයි ගෙවන්න සෙට් උනාම හරි ගානට float වෙයි. කෝකටත් IMF loan approved උනොත් තව ටිකක් appreciate වෙයි රුපියල .
What is your profession/Designation?
imf eka thama approved nehene.. ehenan kohomada mechchara rupiyala shakthimath wenne..තම ලංකාව න්යා ගෙවන්න පටන් ගත්තේ නෑ බන්. import restrictions ටිකයි foreign ණය & පොළියයි ගෙවන්න සෙට් උනාම හරි ගානට float වෙයි. කෝකටත් IMF loan approved උනොත් තව ටිකක් appreciate වෙයි රුපියල .
What is your profession/Designation?
ane mnda bn ubala, oka long term vadi wenawa. short term adu wenna.Who is panic selling dollars ?Ada tawa adu wuna. For safe side, I diversified some dollars to FD.
ආන්ඩුවේ උන් doller ටිකක් එකතු කර ගන්න ගහපු ගුලියක් වගේ මේක.. panic වෙලා dolller මෙහෙට ඒවයි. අතේ තියන උන් හලයි
ඉල්ලුමට වඩා සැපයුම වැඩිවෙලා USD. බැංකුවලට ඩොලර් තියනවලු.
Analysing reasons for this development, NDB Securities (NDBS) said the average daily volume in the interbank FX market is now at $ 42 million vs. $ 8-10 million in the initial days of the crisis (May/June 2022). In February 2018, this used to be around $ 50 million, NDBS recalled.
It also said that the Central Bank (CBSL) has been a net buyer from the FX market in the last three months from $ 6 million in November to $ 104 million in December and $ 211 million in January.
The CBSL also reduced the surrender requirement for export proceeds on 27 February 2023.
“This further strengthens the FX market liquidity,” NDBS said.
CBSL also reduced the export proceeds surrender requirement to 15% from the previous 25%.
On 27 February, the CBSL expanded the daily trading band to +/- LKR 5.00 of the middle spot exchange rate. This used to be +/- LKR 2.60 before.
NDBS said as per its channel checks, banks are flushed with FX liquidity.
Some of the contributory reasons for this according to NDBS were FX conversion by exporters in anticipation of a further appreciation of the LKR; a drop in importer demand (due to a decline in real sector economic activities and import restrictions); and a decline in Current Account Deficit (CAD).
NDBS said the decline in CAD is due to multiple reasons. One was the dwindling trade balance (due to import restrictions, and a slowdown in the real sector). In January 2023, the trade deficit halved YoY to $ 410 million.
Another is the increase in tourism inflows and remittance flows. In January 2023, the former increased by 7%, and the latter rose by 69% - YoY. “The financial account gets a breather from the non-repayment of external obligations,” NDBS added.
In backing its outlook of a likely further appreciation of the Rupee, NDBS said a further improvement in the Current Account Deficit is likely due to a decline in the trade deficit (a function of real sector slowdown to a greater extent), and a healthy increase in tourism inflows and remittance flows.
“The IMF Extended Fund Facility (EFF) also appears close,” it said adding that “While we don’t expect a direct improvement in the interbank FX liquidity due to the receipt of the first tranche of the EFF (CBSL could use this to shore up reserves), inking the deal would be a vote of confidence for investors, resulting in higher portfolio inflows.”
Additionally, NDBS said having an IMF program usually leads to a ‘catalytic effect’. This means an increase in capital flows to the recipient country, especially from Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs), the NDBS added.
- https://www.ft.lk/front-page/Rupee-is-likely-to-further-appreciate-says-NDBS/44-745887
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