MR can WIN!
if you go to election department web site, these are the percentages of recent election results.
UPFA-67%
UNP -28%
JVP-2%
others-3
so if SF bring another 5%,
UNP 32% (if we think that UNP has increased by another 4)+JVP 3% (JVP increased by 1% more) and Mano+Hakeem 2% that means 5+32+3+2=42%
in at the bottom line, assume that UPFA has not increased one single vote but lost 9% of its popularity, still UPFA has 58% vote base.
It is obvious that Mahinda R has increased his popularity heavily after the war and if SF trying to get popularity through the victory, MR also can do that, can’t he!
so that means MR can WIN!
from: Lankapage