2019 General Election Seats Prediction - Sri Lankan Parliament

Sri Lankan Editor

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  • Feb 3, 2018
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    මෙම ලෝකයක කුහක සහ කුරීරු ලෝකයක් කියා ඔබ දැනටමත් දන්නවා ඇති කියා මා සැක කරන්නේ නැත.
    :rofl::)


    Mage නිහතමානි අහිංසක predictions thamai mewa: :P:rolleyes::rofl::)
    Ada podi niwaduwak hambuna nisa liyanna hithuwa. :)
    Oyalge wisleshanath daanna :yes:


    115 to 125 seats - UPFA (SLFP, SLPP, etc.)
    70 to 85 seats - UNP (UNF)
    6 seats - TNA
    8 seats - Vigneshwaran's New Party
    7 to 9 seats - JVP
    1 to 4 seats - Other parties

    TNA seats 15 gannawa CV wenama party ekakin illuwe nathnam.
    UNP leadership change ekak wunoth, seats 10 wage wadi wei.


    Oyalage predictions uth daanna :):yes::rofl:


    Neethi wirodi wunath Parliament eka dan President dissolve karala.
    Lankawe media plus BBC ekath dan report kara.
    Illegal wunath Election Commission eka aniwa oka accept karanawa SLPP eken pressure eka nisa.
    113 ganna baha kiyala kalin idan ma BR danagena hitiya eth President Maithripala Sirisena hoda nakath dawasaka gamu kiyala plan karapu eka SLPP eka kare nathnam, eyalata General Election eke awaasi wenawa mokada SLFP aya UNP ekata join wenna onna menna thibuna nisa.
    (e.g. Dayasiri, Amaraweera, Dissanayake).


    Presidential Election?

    Presidential Election ekak, General Election ekata kalin pawathwanawa kiyala raawayak giyaata eke sambhaawithaawaya adui (wage).


    Election Unusuma and UNP Leadership

    Monawa wunath, me paara SLPP / SLFP ekata waasiyak have :yes:
    Tharagayak naha wage :(

    Api hithanawa UNP eke leadership eka wenas wei kiyala, ehema wunoth gindara wage election ekak ewi.

    Prashanya thiyenne UNP eke inna hodama aya leader wenna aasa naha mokada UNP eka me paara paraada wana nisa.
    Wijewardene and Senanayake paramparaawe daksha minissu aasa naha politics yanna. Eyala balen daala thiyenne families walin (e.g. RW - Gampaha).


    MR vs BR vs GR vs NR

    Mema election ekin thamai Gotabhaya Rajapaksa ta Presidential Election ekata illanna platform eka publicly hadaa ganne.
    GR ge son politics walata akamathi nisa, eelaga paara MR ge son, Namal Rajapaksa wa daanawa.

    Namuth, MR bayai mokada GR kiyanne dangerous porak and eyage ayusha godak wadi lu.

    BR ta me tike hodatama tharaka gihin inne President Maithripala Sirisena and MR karapu bolada wade nisa, balen balaya gaththu eka.

    BR kiyala thibba 113 ganna amaru wei kiyala but monawa wunath, BR mema election ekedi UPFA ekata full support eka denawa GR wa next Presidential Election ekata damme nathnam (sure naha).

    MR ta ona eyage father, DA Rajapaska karapu deya karanna, legacy ekak hadanna.
    NR politics walata sahaja hakiyawak thiyenawa wage wunata, YR and RR ekata dakshathaawayak naha thawama.

    Chamal Rajapaksa ta ona eyage son Shasheendra Rajapaksa ta chance eka denna but eka wena ekak naha.
    BR Shasheendrawa Moneragala wage adu population ekak thiyena district ekata damme eyawa control eke thiyaagena inna.


    Sinhala Buddhist Votes

    Population eken mama anumaana karana widihata dan 69% wage innawa.
    Eken kapuwath kola UNP innawa thamai, but bahutharayak MR / GR ta chandaya denawa.


    Moor Votes

    Bahutharayak UNP or minority parties daanne as usual.
    UPFA eka Muslim candidates la daana me paara godak Moor vote eka allaganna, saarthaka wei tikak.


    Sri Lankan Tamil Votes

    TNA and CV thamai. UNP or UPFA Tamil candidates la dammath saarthaka wenne naha.


    Indian Tamil Votes

    Nuwara Eliya and anith pathi wala Indian Tamil Votes inne bedila - Thondaman and Digambaran wage. UNP ekata laawata waasiyak have mokada Digambaran UPFA yanne naha ehe Thondaman inna nisa.


    Sinhala Non-Buddhist Votes

    Posh votes tika me paara godak vote karanne yanne naha but yana aya UNP thamai hamadaama wage.
    Non-posh anith votes tika boho duara UPFA or independent.


    JVP

    JVP lata chance eka thiyenne eyalage block 150,000 voter base ekai UNP and UPFA dekama epaa wuna paawena chanda nisa.
    But JVP eken 2004 kadan giya set eka nathuwa eyaalage aasarathaka bhaawaya ehema thiyei.
    JVP ekata seats lokuwata ganna bari wei but vote percentage eka wadi wei kiyala hithanawa 2015 ta wada.


    Vigneshwaran + TNA

    Vigneshwaran aluth party ekak TNA eken aragaththu saha aluth ministers la ekka hadala.
    Eka 2019 campaign karanawa kiyala thamai aaranchi. Meka nisa TNA ekata complete balaya nathi wei.
    Aawa kalliya and anith violent groups promote kareth TNA eke local council balayak naha kiyala pennanna
    TNA eka Vigneshwaran ta leadership or deputy leadership or frontline leadership eka dunnoth, Vigneshwaran wenama party ekakin illana eka nawathtai, mokada eyata ona eka thamai.


    UNP + Minority Parties

    TNA eka UNP ekka ekathu wena ekak naha, ehema wunoth TNA ekata thamai paadu, leveraging power eka nathi wenawa.

    Islamic parties UNP ekka ekathu wena ekath naha.


    Other Candidates

    Hithanne nathi aluth candidates la enne nathi wei but 2k arenna. Eyalage parties shakthimath nathi nisa dinanna godaak amarui.


    Business and Funding

    Lankawe prabala businessmen, largescale stock investors, and multi-national companies will support both parties (two main parties) because Colombo dinanna UNP ekata podi chance ekak have nisa.
    Godak aya aasa UNP govt eka digatama giyoth, taxes wadi wuna eken eyaala saapekshawa paaduwak naha mokada smallscale companies walatath wadina nisa.

    Godak nama giya business funding yanne UNP but illegal (drugs, laundering, black market) funding yanne UPFA ekata, kalin sare wage.
     
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    Sri Lankan Editor

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    Mahindata lesiyen loku seats ganak ganna thibba chance eka nathi karagaththa
    #SirisenageLanu

    :yes: Yeah Machanz, MR ta lassanata trend ekai ralla hadeegena aawa, but me karapu dewal nisa eyata laawata paadui. :)
    Easily ganna haki district bonus seats dan ganna tikak amaru wei UPFA ekata. :yes:
    MR ta kamathi paawena chanda walata therum giya MR balen balaya gaththu eka nisa eyage bala thanhaawa wadi wela kiyala, mokada JRJ wage wayasata yanna yanna darunu wenna ida thiyenawa.
     

    PrasadSL2018

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    The biggest issue is whether MY3 acted within his capacity. UNP people and some floating voters assume my3 was not faithfully executed his duty.He tried to get 113 but failed.So being unable to prove they have 113, for that reason only he decided to desolve. One can literally argue President misused his power and it was ultra virus (acted beyond the power vested to him).He acted on the benefit of himself but not for the public interest at large.

    So the fundemental question and allegation from next day onwards from the UNP and liberal thinkers, that act of my3 was wrong and prejudice involved. So they will claim General Election calling is unfair and invalid. Thereafter they will claim various slaims like unfair election etc.. If winning party would be MR, he will not get good consent of the public like in 2005 or 2010.People will denote them as autocratic and prejudice parties with opportunism.

    At the same time, since UNP and others presume these proceedings are absolutely unfair they will emerge with violence, So violence between My3 party and UNP will be most possible till the election results.

    The risk to the PM candidates will be very high through out the election season due to hatred mindset .

    UNP may be in trouble selecting PM candidate. People may feel sympathy towards Ranil as what he faced last month.Sometimes unity of UNP segments will improve around their leader. In other meaning MY3 has given impulse to unite Unpiens as a party because all unpiens now hate my3 and all.
     

    Attaboy

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    අනික් උන් ගැන නම් දන්නෙ නෑ ජෙප්පොන්ට මෙදා පාර තිබ්ව 6 ත් නෑ බලපංකෝ
     

    Sri_Sampath

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  • Jan 26, 2010
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    JVP

    JVP lata chance eka thiyenne eyalage block 150,000 voter base ekai UNP and UPFA dekama epaa wuna paawena chanda nisa.
    But JVP eken 2004 kadan giya set eka nathuwa eyaalage aasarathaka bhaawaya ehema thiyei.
    JVP ekata seats lokuwata ganna bari wei but vote percentage eka wadi wei kiyala hithanawa 2015 ta wada.

    2015 dunne jvp

    aayi denna hithenne naa :sorry:
    balamu chande awama :confused:
     

    Sonique

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  • Oct 22, 2007
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    Forest
    Apparently they didn't have the majority of the Parliament :lol: House of Cards is kindergarten compared to this :rofl:
     

    Sri_Sampath

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  • Jan 26, 2010
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    හුටා චන්දෙ ඇවිල්ලා ..:shocked:
    දැන් දැක්කේ :rofl::rofl:
     

    Sri Lankan Editor

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    Boho wita hari but JVP votes gana giya parata wada adu wenawa.

    :) Thank you for your reply

    Matath mulin hithune eka thamai Machanz :yes: JVP seats 2k wage gani kiyala, Colombo 1 and down south 1.

    But loku paksha dekama epaa wuna tharuna chanda godak me paara ena nisa JVP ekata chance ekak have neda

    Seats adu wiya haka, vote percentage eka egaanama or laawata wadi wei kiyala hithanawaa, balamu :yes:
     

    Sri Lankan Editor

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    අනික් උන් ගැන නම් දන්නෙ නෑ ජෙප්පොන්ට මෙදා පාර තිබ්ව 6 ත් නෑ බලපංකෝ

    Matath mulin hithuwama JVP ta seats 2k wage hambei wage (Colombo and south paththen)
    But passe hithuna JVP ta laawata waasiyak ewi kiyala.. balamu Machanz :yes::)
     

    KavinduDD

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  • Dec 21, 2017
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    (drugs, laundering, black market) funding yanne UPFA ekata, kalin sare wage.


    z_p01-CID-NAMES.jpg
     
    Last edited:

    Superman101

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  • Jul 3, 2015
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    :) Thank you for your reply

    Matath mulin hithune eka thamai Machanz :yes: JVP seats 2k wage gani kiyala, Colombo 1 and down south 1.

    But loku paksha dekama epaa wuna tharuna chanda godak me paara ena nisa JVP ekata chance ekak have neda

    Seats adu wiya haka, vote percentage eka egaanama or laawata wadi wei kiyala hithanawaa, balamu :yes:

    නෑ බන් උන් යන ගමනේ සැහෙන්න අවුල් තියෙනව. 14 පාර්ලිමේන්තු කැදවල ජන්දෙකට ගියානම් ජවිපෙ ප්‍රජාතන්ත්‍රවාදය මුවාවෙන් ස්වාදීනව ඉන්නේ නැතුව රනිල්ට ජන්දේ දෙයිද කියල සැකේකුත් මට තිබුන. අනිත් එක උන් ගෙනාපු 20 වෙනි සංශෝධනය, හිතල බලපන් ජනතාවගේ ජන්දෙන් නැතුව මන්ත්‍රී ලගේ ජන්දෙන් ජනාදිපති පත් උනා නම්?? තව කාරණා බොහොමයක් තියෙනවා, මම 2015 මහරගම තිබ්බ රැලිය අහන්න ගිය අනුර කතාවේදී කිව්වා ජනතාවගේ පරමාධිපත්‍ය, සදාචාරාත්මක අයිතිය වගේ කාරණා, බලමු දැන් පාර්ලිමේන්තුව විසිරුවල ප්‍රජාතන්ත්‍රවාදයේ උපරිමයට ගිය වෙලාවේ ඒ කියන්නේ රටේ මහජනතාවගෙන් විමසන වෙලාවේ ජවිපෙ මොනවා කියයි ද කියල. ජවිපෙ දෙස්පාලයන පිළිබද සැහෙන විවේචන මට තියෙනවා නමුත් ඕව ලියන්න ගියොත් සැහෙන්න දිගට ලියන්න වෙනවා.
     
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    Sri Lankan Editor

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    2015 dunne jvp

    aayi denna hithenne naa :sorry:
    balamu chande awama :confused:

    Ela Machanz :) but anith paksha deka mada (mud slinging) depaththatama wisi karaganna patan gaththama,
    epaa wuna voters la nisa JVP ayata chanda tikak watei kiyala hithenawa
    Seat count eka adu wei wage...
    Balamu :yes::)
     

    N sriyantha

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  • Feb 4, 2007
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    අනික් උන් ගැන නම් දන්නෙ නෑ ජෙප්පොන්ට මෙදා පාර තිබ්ව 6 ත් නෑ බලපංකෝ

    Oya kalakanni nathi welama yanawanam hodai :P