Who can Manchester United draw in the Champions League play-off?
This is not an unfamiliar position for Manchester United. Their summers in 2002, 2004 and 2005 all ended with a two-legged fight for Champions League football. The same was true of 1998, of course, and nine months later they were champions of Europe.
The 2015 version of United could face a much tougher task, though. In those eight previous matches at this stage of the Champions League, they won six, with the likes of LKS Lodz, Dinamo Bucharest and Debrecen soon dispatched. Their only defeat – away to Hungarian outfit Zalaegerszeg in 2002 – was quickly forgotten thanks to a 5-0 second-leg cruise at Old Trafford.
But Friday's play-off draw in Nyon could hold new demons. Since United were last involved in qualifiers, the format has been tightened to favour champion clubs from lower-ranked nations over under-achieving big boys. Finishing fourth in a glamour league no longer allows you the opportunity to waltz past a side most of your players couldn't spell.
When the balls go into the pot on Friday lunchtime, Astana, Skenderbeu and Maccabi Tel-Aviv are not among United's potential opponents. Lazio, Monaco and CSKA Moscow are.
Were they midway through a Champions League group campaign with the season in full flow, such rivals would be far from daunting but there has to be a fear that a squad still finding their feet, led by a manager who has admitted that he sees two areas of his squad in need of strengthening, could find such fixtures arriving a little too early for comfort.
Monaco reached last season's quarter-finals, disposing of Arsenal along the way and making life very tough for eventual finalists Juventus before bowing out by a single goal over two legs. They still boast notable talents such as Anthony Martial and Joao Moutinho, too, despite having quickly lost James Rodriguez and Radamel Falcao as the Dmitry Rybolovlev era hit an early roadblock.
Lazio have a settled squad containing the explosive counter-attacking wing pairing of Antonio Candreva and the standout Brazilian, Felipe Anderson, and were one of the most consistent sides in Serie A for most of last season. While they might not have the name of an AC Milan or an Inter, their threat to a defensively questionable side like United cannot be underestimated.
CSKA, meanwhile, have arguably regressed in recent years but the off-the-pitch sideshow that can come with a trip to Russia has bitten many a top side in the past. They also took four points off Manchester City last season and would fancy their chances of causing more pain in the north west.
Rapid Vienna and Club Brugge are the final two possibilities for United and, while either would be considered a favourable draw compared to the aforementioned alternatives, Van Gaal needs to have his men fit and raring to go whomever they draw.
With around £250 million having been spent since last summer, albeit with some of it already recouped on Angel Di Maria's sale, a second Champions League season without Manchester United would be somewhat unthinkable. A start to the season nearly as limp as the last one, though, and it could be a reality.
United will entertain Tottenham at Old Trafford on Saturday and then head to Aston Villa six days later in their only competitive fixtures before arguably their most crucial pair of games since Sir Alex Ferguson retired. The slightest sign of them being undercooked after a shortened pre-season schedule could and should raise questions ahead of their Champions League D-Day.
No English side have fallen at this hurdle since Everton's anti-climactic home-and-away losses to Villarreal in 2005 and you wouldn't bet your house on Manchester United bucking that trend. Such is the increased unpredictably around Old Trafford these days, though, that nobody should be counting any chickens.